Treasury Rate Watch Data as of Sep 21, 2026

Daily par yield curve

Treasury yield curve today — Sep 21, 2026

The 10-year Treasury is yielding 4.96% and the 2-year 4.76% as of Sep 21, 2026. The curve slopes upward: the 10-year yields 0.20 percentage points more than the 2-year.

10-year note
4.96%
▲ +0.82 pp vs. year ago
2-year note
4.76%
▲ +1.19 pp vs. year ago
30-year bond
5.29%
▲ +0.54 pp vs. year ago
10-year minus 2-year spread
+0.20
percentage points · upward-sloping

The curve today, against a year ago

Par yield at each maturity. Dashed line is Sep 19, 2025.

3.2%3.8%4.4%5.0%5.6%1M1.5M2M3M4M6M1Y2Y3Y5Y7Y10Y20Y30Y
Sep 21, 2026Sep 19, 2025

Every maturity, Sep 21, 2026

Par yields as published by the Treasury, with the same maturities a week, a month and a year earlier.

MaturitySep 21, 2026One week agoOne month agoOne year ago1-year change
1-month 3.96% 3.94%3.80%4.19% ▼ 0.23 pp
1.5-month 4.02% 4.00%3.77%4.16% ▼ 0.14 pp
2-month 4.10% 4.06%3.80%4.14% ▼ 0.04 pp
3-month 4.17% 4.11%3.88%4.03% ▲ +0.14 pp
4-month 4.26% 4.18%3.90%3.98% ▲ +0.28 pp
6-month 4.27% 4.18%3.95%3.81% ▲ +0.46 pp
1-year 4.45% 4.37%4.03%3.60% ▲ +0.85 pp
2-year 4.76% 4.65%4.24%3.57% ▲ +1.19 pp
3-year 4.82% 4.73%4.31%3.56% ▲ +1.26 pp
5-year 4.83% 4.80%4.43%3.68% ▲ +1.15 pp
7-year 4.89% 4.88%4.57%3.88% ▲ +1.01 pp
10-year 4.96% 4.97%4.74%4.14% ▲ +0.82 pp
20-year 5.33% 5.37%5.25%4.71% ▲ +0.62 pp
30-year 5.29% 5.34%5.27%4.75% ▲ +0.54 pp

10-year yield, Jan 2, 2019 – Sep 21, 2026

1931 business days.

0.0%1.4%2.8%4.2%5.5%20192020202120222023202420252026 4.96%

Download: daily-yield-curve.csv · CSV · public domain

What a par yield is

The Treasury does not have a bond outstanding at every maturity on this list, so the curve is interpolated. Each figure is the coupon a hypothetical Treasury security would need to carry, at that exact maturity, to be worth exactly its face value today. That is what "par yield" means, and it is why the curve can quote a 4-month yield on a day when no 4-month security exists.

The inputs are indicative bid-side yields on the most recently issued securities, collected around 3:30 p.m. Eastern each business day from a set of market makers, then fitted to a smooth curve.

Reading the shape

Normally longer maturities yield more, because lending for longer carries more risk. When the short end yields more than the long end the curve is inverted, which historically has tended to precede recessions — the 10-year minus 2-year spread is the version watched most closely, and it stands at +0.20 points today. The 10-year minus 3-month spread, preferred by some researchers, is +0.79 points.

An inverted curve is a statistical regularity, not a mechanism, and it has given false signals. Nothing here is a forecast or a recommendation.

Today's yields versus what the government pays

These are the yields on offer now. What the Treasury actually pays is the average rate across notes already outstanding, which lags today's curve by years — every security issued before rates moved keeps its original coupon until it matures.